In short: Deep learning would do better than radiologists within about five years, so training new ones was a waste.
Verdict
Too fastExpected the change sooner than it came
Said
2016
Date it named
Dec 31, 2021
What happened
Radiologists are still trained and hired. AI now helps read scans, yet Mayo Clinic's radiology staff alone grew 55% after 2016, to more than 400. Consults, hard cases, and sign-off stayed human.
Judged on the advice: did demand for radiologists fall enough that training them was a mistake? He told The New Yorker in 2017 it "might be ten years", so we also check at ten.