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Work · European Union (27) · updated Oct 2, 2026

European Union (27): is AI showing up in jobs?

Unemployment is 6.1% (Aug 2026); 19.9% of firms used AI in 2025.

Unemployment, Aug 2026

6.1%

down 0.1 pt since Nov 2022

Youth unemployment (ages 15–24), Aug 2026

15.4%

up 0.9 pt since Nov 2022

Firms using AI, 2025

19.9%

Enterprises with 10+ employees

Output per worker, year on year

+1.7%

2025

Unemployment, overall and young people

Young workers are hit first in any slowdown, so a rise here alone does not point to AI. Eurostat: under 25 (15–24), seasonally adjusted.

Unemployment rateYouth unemployment rate

Source: Eurostat, seasonally adjusted. · Eurostat

What the careful studies find

Stanford Digital Economy LabUnited States

Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of AI

Brynjolfsson, Chandar & Chen (2025)

Using ADP payroll records, early-career workers (ages 22–25) in the most AI-exposed occupations saw about a 13% relative decline in employment since late 2022, while older workers in the same jobs held steady. Firms adjusted through hiring, not pay.

Yale Budget LabUnited States

Evaluating the Impact of AI on the Labor Market: Current State of Affairs

The Budget Lab at Yale (2025, updated monthly)

No discernible disruption to the broader labor market since ChatGPT's release: the mix of occupations is shifting at about the pace of earlier technology waves, and exposure measures do not yet predict who loses work.

International Labour OrganizationGlobal

Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Gmyrek et al., ILO Working Paper 140 (2025)

About one in four workers worldwide is in an occupation with some exposure to generative AI, and 3.3% are in the most exposed group. Exposure covers 34% of jobs in high-income countries versus 11% in low-income ones. The likeliest effect is changing jobs, not eliminating them.

International Monetary FundGlobal

Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work

Cazzaniga et al., IMF Staff Discussion Note (2024)

Almost 40% of global employment is exposed to AI, rising to about 60% in advanced economies. Roughly half of exposed jobs may gain from AI; for the other half, AI may take over key tasks and lower demand for labor.

Other economies: United States · United Kingdom · Germany · France · Canada · Japan · OECD average